The Dallas Mavericks (34-28) are hosting the Miami Heat (35-26) in a high-energy battle on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Mavericks as 4.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 229 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Heat vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 64-40 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Dallas guard Luka Doncic has become one of the elite players in the game. Doncic has the playmaking ability to find the open man while using his jumper to space the floor. The 25-year-old leads the NBA in points (34.6) and ranks third in assists (9.8). In his last game, Doncic had 39 points, 10 rebounds, and 11 assists.

The model also knows Miami forward Jimmy Butler plays the game at another level. Butler can be a disruptive defender and then come down on the other end to score at will. The Marquette product leads the team in scoring (21.9), assists (4.8), and steals (1.4). On Mar. 2, Butler finished with 37 points and seven assists.

The model has simulated Heat vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Heat vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 64-40 roll on top-rated NBA picks!