Madison Square Garden hosts a matchup between the New York Knicks and the Miami Heat at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday. Miami is favored by six points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 211.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Heat vs. Knicks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 69-41 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,300. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Heat are tremendous on both sides of the floor. Miami is scoring nearly 1.12 points per possession, with several elite traits. The Heat are shooting 37.3 percent from 3-point range and 81.2 percent from the free-throw line. Miami is also in the top six in assists, assist percentage and offensive rebound rate. On defense, Miami is limiting opponents to 1.07 points per possession, and the Heat lead the NBA in points allowed in the paint. Miami also ranks in the top five in field-goal percentage allowed and turnovers created.

The model also knows the Knicks have real strengths to lean on in this matchup. New York is averaging 22.5 free-throw attempts per game, a top-five mark in the NBA. The Knicks are also in the top tier of the league in offensive rebound rate and second-chance points per game. New York takes care of the ball well, and the Knicks are in the top 10 in several defensive categories. That includes points allowed in the paint, 2-point percentage allowed and blocked shots per game.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Knicks. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Knicks spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!