Game 3 between the Atlanta Hawks and the Miami Heat is set to take place at State Farm Arena at 7 p.m. ET on Friday. Miami is favored by 1.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 222 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Heat vs. Hawks picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-56 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Miami is the more accomplished team. On top of that, the Heat have dominated the series, winning by 34 combined points. The Heat are holding the Hawks to a point per possession across 96 minutes, with top-tier marks in defensive rebound rate, turnover creation rate, and steal rate. Atlanta has the same amount of assists as turnovers in the series, while Miami is assisting on 69.1 percent of field goals. The Heat are also shooting 43.2 percent from 3-point range against the Hawks.

The model also knows the Hawks are electric on offense. Led by Trae Young, Atlanta was in the top five of the NBA in numerous offensive categories this season, including points per possession and three-point accuracy. The Hawks are shooting 82.9 percent from the free throw line in the series, and Bogdan Bogdanovic exploded for 26 points in the second half of Game 2. On defense, Atlanta is dominating the glass against Miami. The Hawks are securing 81 percent of available rebounds after a missed shot by the Heat.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Hawks. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Heat vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Hawks spread you should be all over Friday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!