The Memphis Grizzlies will try to maintain their spot as the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference standings when they host the surging New Orleans Pelicans in a key NBA game on Tuesday at the FedEx Forum in Memphis. With Golden State's loss on Monday night, the Grizzlies (44-22) reclaimed sole possession of the second seed in the West, a half-game ahead of the Warriors (43-22). Meanwhile the Pelicans (27-37) have won four of their last five games and sit in 10th place in the West. Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET. Memphis is listed as a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Grizzlies vs. Pelicans odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the Over/Under for total points scored is 230.5. 

Before making any Pelicans vs. Grizzlies picks or NBA predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say. (Check out the odds of every game on SportsLine's NBA odds page.)

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 74-47 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that the Grizzlies' Ja Morant is having an MVP-caliber season. The 22-year-old from Murray State ranks seventh in the league in scoring (27.6 points per game). He also is averaging 6.6 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game while shooting a career-best 49.4 percent from the field.

The model also knows that New Orleans has turned a corner since acquiring CJ McCollum at the trade deadline. In the 10 games the Pelicans have played with McCollum, they have averaged 118.9 points per 100 possessions, which ranks second in the league over that time, behind only Atlanta (120.1). They're also 4-1 in their last five games, with victories over the Suns and Jazz and the only loss coming at Denver in overtime.

Now, the model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Pelicans 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under the total, predicting a combined 228 points, and it also says one side of the spread covers well over 50 percent of the time. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins Grizzlies vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread covers in well over 50 percent of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks.