Teams looking to turn around their recent fortunes meet when the Memphis Grizzlies battle the Dallas Mavericks in a key Southwest Division matchup on Friday night. Memphis is coming off a 120-103 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday, while Dallas dropped a 137-107 decision at Milwaukee that same night. The Grizzlies (38-24), who have lost four games in a row, are 16-14 on the road and 8-5 within the division this season. The Mavericks (32-31), who have lost three consecutive games, are 19-13 at home and 7-4 within the division.

Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Memphis has dropped nine straight versus the spread, while Dallas has failed to cover in each of its last four. The Grizzlies are 9.5-point favorites in the latest Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 239.5. Memphis is at -455 on the money line (risk $455 to win $100), while Dallas is at +351 (risk $100 to win $351).

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The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations!

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