Fresno State vs. Boise State prediction, odds, line: Advanced computer model releases CFB picks for Saturday's Mountain West Championship

The Boise State Broncos (9-3) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4) in the 2022 Mountain West Championship Game on Saturday afternoon. Kickoff is at 4 p.m. ET from Albertsons Stadium in Boise. Boise State is a 3-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 54.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any Fresno State vs. Boise State picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Fresno State senior running back Jordan Mims is leading the way for this ground attack. Mims has been a workhorse with excellent speed and quickness. The California native knows how to quickly hit the hole and understands angles/leverage. Mims is fourth in the conference in rushing yards (1,078) and second in rushing touchdowns (14). Additionally, he's logged a rushing score in seven straight games. 

The model also knows Boise State has produced one of the top offenses in the conference. They own a balanced unit that can win both the run and pass. The Broncos are second in the Mountain West in both scoring (30.2) and rushing (190.4) but third in total offense (386.8). Freshman quarterback Taylen Green leads this group. In the win over Fresno State earlier this season, Green went 10 of 18 for 127 yards and two passing touchdowns.

Now, it has set its sights on Fresno State vs. Boise State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

So who wins Fresno State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its top-rated college football picks against the spread!

Here are the computer's selections for Fresno State vs. Boise State. Simulations run every 15 minutes and are subject to change. SportsLine members can always get the latest picks on the game forecast page.

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS. BOISE STATE BRONCOS | 12/03 | 4 P.M. ET

Against the Spread

Pick: Boise State -3
Boise State is covering 58% of the time

Over/Under

Pick: Over 54.5
The model is projecting 58 combined points

Projected final score: Boise State 33, Fresno State 25

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