The No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels host the Florida State Seminoles in the ACC opener for both programs at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Tar Heels as 12.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 158.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Florida State vs. North Carolina picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 4 of the 2023-24 season on an 94-61 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It is also off to an 8-2 roll on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Florida State creates havoc on defense. The Seminoles are near the top of the country in forcing a turnover on 22.6% of defensive possessions. That includes a 13.5% steal rate that ranks in the top 15 nationally. Florida State is also blocking 11.2% of shots, and opponents are shooting only 25.6% from 3-point range against the Seminoles. 

The model also knows North Carolina's offense is potent. The Tar Heels are in the top 15 of the nation in averaging more than 87 points per game. North Carolina does damage at the free throw line, averaging 28.4 attempts per game and making 76.9% of those shots. The Tar Heels are also excellent at taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on 13.9% of possessions, and North Carolina is securing more than 34% of missed shots on the offensive glass. 

Now, it has set its sights on Florida State vs. North Carolina. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Florida State vs. North Carolina? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Florida State vs. North Carolina spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!