The Washington Commanders look to get back on the winning track as they host the lowly New York Giants in Week 11 on Sunday. The Commanders (4-6) fell in Seattle last Sunday, 29-26, while the Giants (2-8) were crushed by the Cowboys, 49-17. New York won the teams' previous meeting, 14-7, one month ago.

Kickoff from FedEx Field is set for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is a 9-point favorite in the Commanders vs. Giants odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 38.5. Before making any Giants vs. Commanders picks of your own, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, it has simulated Commanders vs. Giants 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in your own picks. 

Who wins Giants vs. Commanders, and which side of the spread is the better value? Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Giants-Commanders spread is a MUST-BACK, all from the model on a 174-125 roll on NFL picks!