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NFL Survivor Pool: Week 17, 2025 pick from advanced computer model

Don't lock in your NFL Week 17 survivor pick until you see the play from the SportsLine Projection Model

ByUpdated: Dec 22, 2025 6:50PM UTC . 3 min read

For those still seeking survivor pool options, the NFL Week 17 schedule offers a few good ones. Of those few who have negotiated their way through 16 weeks of upsets and bad luck, there is still a clear winning pathway. Week 16 had its share of drama as a number of favorites came up short, including the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Green Bay Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos.

A popular choice this week is the Seattle Seahawks, who take on the Carolina Panthers in Charlotte, N.C. Seattle (12-3) leads the NFC West, but has a tough two-game stretch to end the season. The Panthers, meanwhile, hold a slim one-game lead over Tampa Bay in the NFC South, and are battling for their playoff lives.

The Seahawks enter as a 7.5-point favorite in the Week 17 NFL lines, among the widest lines this week. The other largest lines for Sunday's games, include Patriots (-13.5) vs. Jets and Cardinals vs. Bengals (-7).

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Before making any Week 17 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 on a 52-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

This week, the model is shying away from picking the 12-3 Seattle Seahawks (-7.5), who are taking on the Carolina Panthers (8-7), as both teams look to keep their hold on their respective divisions. The Seahawks hold a one-game edge in the NFC West, while the Panthers hold a one-game edge in the NFC South. The Seahawks enter as 7.5-point favorites, and have won four of the last five head-to-head matchups. Seattle won the last meeting 37-27 in 2023, but Carolina won 30-24 in 2022.

The SportsLine model projects Seattle to cover in 51% of simulations, making the Seahawks a team to fade. Instead, the model is CONFIDENTLY backing a team that wins outright in over 80% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

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Daniel Kohn
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