The Kansas City Chiefs look to win their sixth game in a row when they battle the Pittsburgh Steelers in a key AFC matchup on Christmas Day. Kansas City is coming off a 27-19 win over the Houston Texans on Saturday, while Pittsburgh dropped a 34-17 decision at Baltimore later in the day. The Chiefs (14-1), who already have clinched their ninth AFC West championship, are 6-1 on the road this year. The Steelers (10-5), who are tied for the AFC North lead with the Ravens, are 5-1 on their home field.

Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Chiefs vs. Steelers odds, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 43. The Chiefs are -141 money-line favorites (risk $141 to win $100), while the Steelers are +120 underdogs (risk $100 to win $120).

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Now, it has simulated Chiefs vs. Steelers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in your own picks.

Who wins Chiefs vs. Steelers on Christmas Day, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Chiefs vs. Steelers spread is a MUST-BACK, all from the model on a 208-140 roll on NFL picks! Don't forget to see AI props, Vegas expert picks, DFS Optimizer lineups, and all the other tools to crush your Christmas Day picks at SportsLine.