The Divisional round of the 2024 NFL Playoffs will conclude on Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs face the Buffalo Bills. The streaking Bills (12-6) won the AFC East for the fourth straight season and earned the No. 2 seed in the AFC playoff bracket. The Chiefs (12-6), the third seed, won their eighth consecutive AFC West Division championship. 

Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Bills odds while the over/under for total points scored is 45.5. The Bills are -147 favorites on the money line, while the Chiefs are +124 underdogs. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Bills picks or NFL playoff predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model knows that Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen completed 21 of 30 passes (70%) for 203 yards and three touchdowns against the Steelers in the Wild Card round. He also carried eight times for 74 yards, including a 52-yard score. During the regular season, Allen was among the league's best, throwing for 4,306 yards and 29 touchdowns. He also ran for 15 scores.

The model also has taken into account that last season's MVP, Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs, was among the league's best passers, completing 401 of 597 passes (67.2%) for 4,183 yards, 27 touchdowns, 14 interceptions and a rating of 92.6. He was also the Chiefs' second-leading rusher, carrying 75 times for 389 yards, including two explosive plays of 20 or more yards.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Bills in the NFL playoffs 2024. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks of your own.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Bills on Sunday? And which side of the spread has ALL the value? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Bills spread to back, all from the model on an incredible 183-129 run on NFL picks!