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Central Michigan vs. Toledo line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for MAC Tournament matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's MAC Tournament matchup between the Central Michigan Chippewas and the Toledo Rockets

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 10, 2022 1:44PM UTC . 3 min read

The Central Michigan Chippewas face the Toledo Rockets in a quarterfinal matchup of the 2022 MAC Tournament at 11 a.m. ET on Thursday. Toledo is favored by 17.5 points in Cleveland, while the Over-Under is set at 145.5 at Caesars Sportsbook (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Central Michigan vs. Toledo picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Central Michigan is above-average nationally in making 34.5 percent of 3-point attempts. The Chippewas are in the top five of the MAC in free-throw creation rate, and Toledo's defense is second-worst in the MAC in turnover creation and steal rate. On defense, Central Michigan is No. 2 in the MAC in block rate with above-average marks in steal rate and 3-point defense. Toledo struggles to create free-throw attempts, and the Rockets are second-worst in the MAC in avoiding blocked shots on offense.

The model also knows Toledo is the class of the MAC. The Rockets are in the top 35 of the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and Toledo leads the MAC in myriad offensive categories. Toledo has the best offensive rating in the conference, with No. 1 marks in turnover prevention, 3-point shooting, 2-point shooting and steal rate allowed. Toledo is also in the top three of the MAC in free-throw accuracy and offensive rebound rate, making the Rockets difficult to stop.

Now, it has set its sights on Central Michigan vs. Toledo. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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