The Dallas Mavericks host the Boston Celtics in a crucial Game 3 of the 2024 NBA Finals on Wednesday. On Sunday night, Boston defeated Dallas 105-98 to go up 2-0 in the season. Tipoff from American Airlines Center in Dallas is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The SportsLine consensus lists Dallas as the 2.5-point favorite in the latest Celtics vs. Mavericks odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 213.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Celtics vs. Mavericks picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the 2024 NBA Finals on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Boston guard Jrue Holiday is coming off a dominant performance. Holiday plays top-tier defense and has the talent to create quality scoring opportunities. In the 2024 NBA Finals, Holiday averages 19 points, 9.5 rebounds and four assists per game. In Game 2, Holiday dropped 26 points, 11 boards and three assists.

The model also knows Dallas guard Luka Doncic continues to be an all-around weapon. Doncic scores at will and threads the needle as a passer. The 25-year-old is putting up 31 points, 10.5 rebounds and six assists per game in the NBA Finals. In his last outing, he racked up a triple-double of 32 points, 11 boards and 11 assists.

The model has simulated Celtics vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly in 60% of simulations!

Who wins Celtics vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 94-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!