The Miami Heat take on the Boston Celtics in Game 3 of the 2023 Eastern Conference Finals at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. The Heat lead the series by a 2-0 margin after winning twice at TD Garden. Boston is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 214 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Celtics vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Celtics have played well on the road. Boston won 25 road games during the regular season, and the Celtics are 4-2 with a +4.9 net rating in playoff road games. The Celtics also have a prolific offense that is generating more than 1.17 points per possession so far in the postseason. Boston leads the postseason with a 60.6% true shooting mark, and the Celtics are averaging more than 26 free throw attempts per game against Miami. 

The model also knows the Heat have found a new level in the playoffs. Miami struggled in the regular season and play-in, but the Heat are 10-3 in the postseason, posting a +5.0 net rating in those 13 games. The Heat have exploded on offense, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession in the playoffs and more than 1.21 points per possession in the series. Miami is also securing 34.4% of missed shots on the offensive glass against Boston. 

Now, it has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Heat spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!