The No. 6 seed Indiana Pacers and the No. 3 seed Milwaukee Bucks square off in Game 4 on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Indiana as the 10-point favorite, while the over/under is 216 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before you make any Bucks vs. Pacers picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 90-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Milwaukee is having an uphill battle with Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) and Damian Lillard (Achilles) both likely to miss this contest. They will need everyone to step up, especially forward Bobby Portis. He plays with some juice and has the talent to score the ball consistently. He's averaging 15.3 points and 13.3 rebounds per game. In his last outing, Portis had 17 points and 18 rebounds.

The model also knows Indiana forward Pascal Siakam has been a relentless finisher. He is scoring at will with a soft touch in the lane. Siakam owns a reliable jumper while fighting on the glass. The 30-year-old leads the team in both scoring (30) and rebounds (11). In Game 2, he notched 37 points and 11 boards.

The model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time!

Who wins Bucks vs. Pacers, and which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 90-58 roll on top-rated NBA picks!