The fifth-seeded Milwaukee Bucks will take on the fourth-seeded Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of their best-of-seven NBA Eastern Conference first-round matchup on Saturday. The Bucks (48-34), who were 31-21 within the conference this season, are 20-20 on the road in 2024-25. The Pacers (50-32), who were 29-22 against Eastern Conference opponents, are 29-11 on their home court. Milwaukee will be without point guard Damian Lillard (blood clot).

Tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Pacers are 6-point favorites in the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 225. 

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The model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

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