The 2024 NFL playoffs will kick off Saturday at 4:30 p.m. ET when the AFC South champion and No. 4 seed Houston Texans (10-7) host the No. 5 seed Cleveland Browns (11-6) at NRG Stadium. Cleveland is a two-point road favorite in the latest Browns vs. Texans odds from the SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total point is 45. Before making any Texans vs. Browns picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 37-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and has nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

The model has considered that Houston has been one of the league's top surprises and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been a breakout star. He's opened up a stagnant offense with the help of receiver Nico Collins and tight end Dalton Schultz. Houston ranked fifth in passing offense with 4,578 yards this season and might have more offense than Cleveland can keep up with. 

However, the model has also factored in that Cleveland's defense has been elite. The Browns only gave up 5.9 yards per passing attempt this season, which ranked No. 1 in the NFL. Offensively, Cleveland has overcome injuries to quarterback Deshaun Watson (shoulder) and running back Nick Chubb (ACL) to average 23.3 points per game, in large part due to the arrival of veteran quarterback Joe Flacco.

Now, the model has set its sights on Browns vs. Texans. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

Who wins Browns vs. Texans, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Texans vs. Browns spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a 183-129 roll on NFL picks!