Broncos vs. Chiefs line, picks: Advanced computer NFL model releases selections for Thursday Night Football showdown
Division rivals will meet when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos on Thursday Night Football. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is nursing an ankle injury, but practiced on Tuesday. The Chiefs are 10.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 47. The Chiefs are -590 favorites on the money line (risk $590 to win $100), while the Broncos are +432 underdogs (risk $100 to win $432). Before making any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 171-119 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 25-11 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.Â
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.
The model knows Denver is averaging 24.2 points per game this season and ranks in the top 10 with 2.26 points per offensive possession. The Broncos are also generating 5.8 yards per play and 4.9 yards per rush attempt.
The model also knows Kansas City is allowing only 16.0 points per game and opponents are producing only 1.16 points per drive against the Chiefs. Kansas City also ranks in the top 10 in total defense, yards allowed per play, net yards allowed per pass attempt, rushing touchdowns allowed, red zone efficiency allowed, third down conversion rate allowed, and first downs allowed.
Now, it has set its sights on Broncos vs. Chiefs. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.
Who wins Broncos vs. Chiefs on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in nearly 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Broncos vs. Chiefs spread you should be all over Thursday, all from the model on a 171-119 roll on NFL picks!
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