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Baylor vs. West Virginia prediction, odds, line: Advanced college football model reveals picks for Thursday night's Big 12 matchup

SportsLine's projection model has generated Week 7 CFB picks for the contest between the Baylor Bears and West Virginia Mountaineers

By@SportsLinePublished: Oct 13, 2022 8:54PM UTC . 3 min read

The Baylor Bears look for their first-ever win at Morgantown, West Virginia, when they meet the West Virginia Mountaineers in a key Big 12 Conference matchup on Thursday night. Baylor (3-2, 1-1) is coming off a 36-25 defeat at the hands of No. 9 Oklahoma State on Oct. 1. The Mountaineers (2-3, 0-2) dropped a 38-20 decision at Texas in their last game. Both teams had this past weekend off.

Kickoff from Milan Puskar Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Baylor is a 3-point favorite in the latest Baylor vs. West Virginia odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 55. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page.) 

Before you make any Baylor vs. West Virginia picks or college football predictions, you NEED to see the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Bears' offense is led by sophomore quarterback Blake Shapen, who has put up some big numbers this season. Shapen has passed for 1,118 yards and nine touchdowns with a 153.3 rating on 97 of 143 passing (69.3 average). In a loss to Oklahoma State on Oct. 1, he completed 28 of 40 for 345 yards and two scores with two interceptions. A week earlier at Iowa State, he completed 19 of 26 passes for 238 yards and three TDs.

The model also knows the Mountaineers offense is powered by junior quarterback J.T. Daniels. Daniels ranks 23rd nationally in completions per game. He's completed 115 of 181 passes (63.5 percent) for 1,209 yards and eight touchdowns passing and two rushing scores. He has been picked off twice, but has a rating of 132. His best game came in a 55-42 overtime loss to Kansas. In that game, he completed 27 of 39 passes (69.2 percent) for 365 yards and three touchdowns. He also threw one interception.

Now, the model has set its sights on Baylor vs. West Virginia. We can tell you it is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

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