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Arizona vs. Duke odds, prediction: 2025 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 picks from proven model

SportsLine's model has locked in its best bets for the Arizona Wildcats vs. Duke Blue Devils in a Sweet 16 matchup in the 2025 NCAA Tournament on Thursday

By@SportsLineUpdated: Mar 28, 2025 12:04AM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils and the No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats battle in the Sweet 16 on Friday. The Blue Devils have been dominant during this tournament, winning each game by at least 23 points. Duke blew out Baylor 89-66 on March 23. On the other side, Arizona defeated Oregon 87-83 in a second-round contest on March 23. Duke head coach Jon Scheyer said there's a chance Maliq Brown could play against Arizona after missing time with a shoulder injury. 

Tip-off from the Prudential Center in Newark, N.J., is set for 9:39 p.m. ET. Duke is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Arizona vs. Duke odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 153.5. The Blue Devils are -510 money-line favorites after opening at -410. Before making any Duke vs. Arizona picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 NCAA Tournament on a 228-168 roll (+1815) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. This model has also produced brackets that have beaten over 91% of CBS Sports entries in four of the last six tournaments and has nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds! Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Arizona vs. Duke 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

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