The Appalachian State Mountaineers hope to extend their winning streak in the all-time series when they host the South Alabama Jaguars in a Sun Belt Conference showdown at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. on Thursday. Appalachian State (2-1) lost the first meeting between the schools in 2014 but has won the last four, including a 31-7 triumph in 2021. The Mountaineers edged East Carolina 21-19 last weekend, while South Alabama (1-2) set program and conference records for points with an 87-10 rout of Northwestern State, giving head coach Major Applewhite his first win with the club.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Mountaineers are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Appalachian State vs. South Alabama odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 62.5. The Mountaineers are -279 (risk $279 to win $100) money line favorites, while the Jagaurs are +221 underdogs. Before making any South Alabama vs. Appalachian State picks or CFB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also is coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 5-2 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen STRONG returns!

The model knows Appalachian State, which leads the Sun Belt with an average of 321.3 passing yards, trailed East Carolina 16-0 after one quarter before taking over, as it outgained the Pirates 505-324 in total yards. Quarterback Joey Aguilar set a career high with 424 passing yards while connecting with tight end Eli Wilson and wideout Makai Jackson for touchdowns. Kaedin Robinson recorded his sixth career 100-yard performance and second this season, gaining 129 yards on seven catches, while fellow receiver Christian Horn hauled in five passes for 108 yards.

The model has also taken into account that South Alabama has the No. 2 passing offense in the conference with 305 yards per game. Freshman quarterback Gio Lopez threw for 257 yards against Northwestern State and tied the school record with four TD tosses as the Jaguars scored the most points by an FBS team since 1991. The club racked up 620 total yards in the blowout - including 363 on the ground, with freshman Fluff Bothwell rushing for 143 yards and junior Kentrel Bullock gaining 102 while both players ran for two scores. 

The model has simulated Appalachian State vs. South Alabama 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins South Alabama vs. Appalachian State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 13-9 roll on top-rated CFB picks!