The Los Angeles Angels will battle the Tampa Bay Rays in an American League matchup on Thursday afternoon. The Angels (7-4), who have won three of the past four games, are 5-3 on the road this season. The Rays (5-6), who have lost five of six, are 5-3 on their home field.

First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Fla., is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a –119 favorite on the money line (risk $119 to win $100) in the latest Angels vs. Rays odds from SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 8.

Before making any Angels vs. Rays picks or MLB predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 MLB season on a 34-19 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+629) that dates back to 2023. Anybody following could have seen strong returns. 

The model knows Tampa Bay is expected to send right-hander Zack Littell (0-2, 4.15 ERA) to the mound. In his first outing, a 2-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies on March 29, he was solid, allowing four hits, one earned run and no walks, while striking out seven in six innings. He took the loss in a 5-2 defeat at Texas on Friday. He has pitched well against the Los Angeles Angels. In three games, including two starts, he is 0-0 with a 3.27 ERA, allowing 14 hits, four earned runs, five walks and 12 strikeouts in 11 innings of work.  

The model also knows Los Angeles will counter with right-hander Jose Soriano (1-1, 3.65 ERA). In his first outing this year, a 1-0 win against the White Sox in Chicago on March 29, he pitched seven scoreless innings, allowing two hits and two walks, while striking out five. In an 8-6 loss to the Cleveland Guardians on Friday, he pitched 5.1 innings, allowing five hits, five earned runs and three walks, while striking out nine. In five career games against the Rays, including two starts, he is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA.

The model has simulated Angels vs. Rays 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value!

Who wins Angels vs. Rays, and which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the money line you should be all over, all from the model on a 34-19 roll on top-rated MLB picks!