The 16th-seeded Alabama State Hornets will look to continue their momentum when they take on the top-seeded Auburn Tigers in a South Regional first-round matchup on Thursday afternoon. The Hornets (20-15), who were 12-6 in the SWAC, are making their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2011. The Tigers (28-5), who won the SEC regular-season title at 15-3, are making their 14th NCAA Tournament appearance.

Tip-off from Rupp Arena in Lexington, Ky., is set for 2:50 p.m. ET. Auburn is a 32.5-point favorite in the latest Alabama State vs. Auburn odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 149.5. 

Before making any Alabama State vs. Auburn picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2025 NCAA Tournament on a 228-166 roll (+2025) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. This model has also produced brackets that have beaten over 91% of CBS Sports entries in four of the last six tournaments and nailed 24 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds! Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Alabama State vs. Auburn 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value!

So who wins Alabama State vs. Auburn, and which side of the spread has all the value? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that is 228-166 (+2025) on top-rated college basketball pick and has nailed 24 double-digit upsets!