76ers vs. Heat line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Game 5 matchup
The Philadelphia 76ers visit the Miami Heat for Game 5 of a second round playoff series at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Miami is favored by 2.5-points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 209.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any 76ers vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!
The model knows the 76ers are a different team with Joel Embiid, bouncing back with two wins after his return. Philadelphia is a dynamic offensive team, scoring 115.5 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs. The 76ers are shooting 48.2 percent from the field and 38.7 percent from three-point range in postseason action, and Philadelphia is elite at the free throw line with 84.4 percent shooting on 25.0 attempts per game. On defense, the 76ers are also holding opponents to less than 1.1 points per possession during the playoff run.
The model also knows the Heat excel on defense. After a top-five finish in defensive efficiency during the regular season, Miami is No. 2 in the NBA Playoffs in allowing only 106.5 points per 100 possessions. The Heat are securing 76.5 percent of defensive rebounds, including 78.4 percent against Philadelphia, and opponents are shooting only 33.8 percent from three-point range. Miami is also forcing 15.9 turnovers per game, and Philadelphia is committing a turnover on 15.8 percent of offensive possessions.
Now, it has set its sights on 76ers vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.
Who wins 76ers vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the 76ers vs. Heat spread you should be all over Tuesday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!
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