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2026 U.S. Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the U.S. Open 2026 10,000 times and came up with a shocking leaderboard

By@Mike5754Updated: Jun 18, 2026 1:12AM UTC . 3 min read

Golf's third major begins on Thursday, June 18 as the 2026 U.S. Open heads to Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York. J.J. Spaun is the defending U.S. Open champion, and Rory McIlroy (Masters) and Aaron Rai (PGA Championship) have claimed the first two majors this year. 

Scottie Scheffler, who is looking for his first win since January despite several close calls, is the early +550 favorite in the 2026 U.S. Open odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. McIlroy (+1200), Jon Rahm (+1300) round out the list of the top-three favorites. Spaun is at +6000 as he attempts to become the first golfer since Brooks Koepka (2017-18) to win this major in back-to-back years. Koepka, who is a +4500 longshot this year, also won the U.S. Open the last time it was at Shinnecock Hills in 2018. 

Before locking in any 2026 U.S. Open picks, you NEED to see the golf prediction and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour tournament 10,000 times, and has a lengthy history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a WHOPPING 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, its fifth Masters in a row, as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship! Anyone who has followed it could have seen MASSIVE returns! Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking 2026 U.S. Open picks from 10,000 simulations!

Now, with the 2026 U.S. Open field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising.

One major surprise the model is calling for: Rahm, one of the favorites, stumbles and falls out of the top 5! Another surprise: Cameron Young is a top-5 contender despite going off at +2200. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday!

The model is also targeting another HUGE longshot of around +7500! You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any PGA picks!

Don't miss out: All new SportsLine memberships include Paramount+ Premium -- a $13.99/month value -- for no extra cost! Join now and get it all. 

GET VEGAS EXPERT PICKS FOR NFL, MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING TOOLS, AND MORE!

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