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2026 NCAA Tournament Optimal Bracket Simulation: Model on epic run reveals picks, predictions

In this bracket, the team that wins in more than 50% of computer simulations is picked to advance each round. Our optimal bracket beat more than 91% of CBS Sports Bracket Challenge players four of the last seven tournaments!

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 17, 2026 1:02AM UTC . 1 min read
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In the always-important 8 vs. 9 matchup, No. 9 Saint Louis from the A-10 squeaks past No. 8 Georgia from the SEC. Saint Louis opened the season as one of the hottest teams in the country, but limps into March after going 4-4 in its last eight games. Elsewhere, No. 5 Texas Tech overcomes the injury to JT Toppin and gets past strong perimeter teams in Akron and Alabama to meet Michigan in the Sweet 16. And in a major shocker, the play-in winner of SMU vs. Miami (Ohio) upsets Tennessee and advances to the Round of 32 in the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket.

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