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2025 NFL Championship Weekend: Anytime touchdown picks, first TD predictions from proven football model

SportsLine's model locked in its NFL anytime TD picks and first touchdown scorers for the Bills vs. Chiefs and Commanders vs. Eagles conference title games.

The Chiefs, Bills, Eagles and Commanders are the final four teams remaining in the 2025 NFL Playoffs and a trip to Super Bowl LIX will be on the line in the 2025 AFC Championship Game and 2025 NFC Championship Game on Sunday. NFL Championship Weekend begins with the Commanders vs. Eagles in Philadelphia at 3 p.m. ET, followed by Bills vs. Chiefs at 6:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite over Buffalo, while Philadelphia is a 5.5-point favorite against Washington in the latest NFL odds. 

There are many NFL props you can play for each contest. That includes NFL anytime touchdown props and first TD scorers, which can be parlayed for epic payouts when you're putting together NFL same-game parlays. So who are the most likely anytime TD scorers, and who are the best values to hit it big on a first touchdown bet?

Before placing your 2025 NFL Championship Weekend anytime touchdown props or first TD bets, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Championship Round of the 2025 NFL playoffs on a 31-15 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year -- a stunning 67% success rate! Longer term, it is on a 211-143 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 65-36 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following could have seen huge returns.

One NFL Championship Weekend anytime touchdown prop we can reveal: The model likes Bills running back James Cook (+135) to score for its NFL Championship Weekend anytime touchdown picks. Cook is coming off an epic campaign where he notched a second consecutive 1,000-yard season, and scored 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns after scoring only nine times combined in his first two years. He's scored in 13 of the 18 games he's played this season, including two TDs in a win over the Chiefs on Nov. 17. His implied odds to score are 42.6% but the model predicts that he scores in well over 50% of simulations.

The model also lists one player with SKY-HIGH ODDS who should be on your radar and has revealed its best values for first TD scorers during NFL Championship Weekend! Anyone who includes them in their conference title anytime touchdown props or NFL same-game parlays could hit it BIG!

Which anytime touchdown props should you target for NFL Championship Weekend? And which longshot first TD scorer is a MUST-BET? ... Join SportsLine here to see which teams cover the spread, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks!

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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