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2025 NCAA Tournament Optimal Bracket Simulation: Model on epic run reveals picks, predictions

In this bracket, the team that wins in more than 50% of computer simulations is picked to advance each round. Our optimal bracket beat more than 91% of CBS Sports Bracket Challenge players four of the last six tournaments!
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Our model simulated the entire 2025 NCAA Tournament 10,000 times, just like in the bracket above. In an upset-laden 2024 NCAA Tournament, the model was all over UConn's championship run and nailed 13 teams in the Sweet 16. It also nailed Alabama's Cinderella run to the Final Four as a 4-seed.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 24 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds since its inception in 2016.

Get every pick, every play, every upset and fill out the rest of your bracket with our help! ... Join SportsLine now to see which teams will make and break your bracket, and see who cuts down the nets, all from the model that beat over 91% of CBS Sports brackets players four of the last six years!

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SportsLine Staff
SportsLine Staff

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