The Atlanta Hawks will host the Miami Heat on Friday, with the winner earning the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs and taking on the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round of the 2025 NBA playoffs. The Hawks went 40-42 this season and are coming off a 120-95 loss to the Magic on Tuesday in their first NBA Play-In Tournament game. The Heat went 37-45 and are coming off a 109-90 victory over the Bulls on Wednesday to move one win away from reaching the 2025 NBA playoffs. The Hawks and Heat split their four matchups this season with the home team winning each time.

Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET from State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Ga. The Hawks are 1-point favorites in the latest Hawks vs. Heat odds on DraftKings. Atlanta is at -118 on the money line (risk $118 to win $100), while Miami is at -102 (risk $102 to win $100). The over/under is set at 219 points. 

Before entering any Heat vs. Hawks picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-115 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Heat vs. Hawks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread has better value!

So who wins Heat vs. Hawks, and which side of the spread has better value? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NBA picks!