The Atlanta Falcons look to stay in the race for the NFC South title when they battle the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football. Atlanta is coming off a 34-7 win over the New York Giants, while Washington outlasted the Philadelphia Eagles 36-33 in Week 16. The Falcons (8-7), who entered the week tied for first with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, have won two in a row and are 4-3 on the road this season. The Commanders (10-5), second in the NFC East, are 6-2 on their home field in 2024. Washington running back Austin Ekeler (concussion) remains out.

Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Washington is a four-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Commanders odds, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5. The Commanders are -202 money line favorites (risk $202 to win $100), while the Falcons are +167 underdogs (risk $100 to win $167).

Before making any Falcons vs. Commanders picks or NFL predictions of your own, you NEED to see which side SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein is on. 

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Hartstein's weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. He's also an INCREDIBLE 51-29-2 (+1700) on his last 82 NFL picks involving the Atlanta Falcons! Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has locked in another confident against-the-spread pick for Falcons vs. Commanders.

We can tell you he's leaning Over the point total, but he also knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Falcons vs. Commanders on Sunday Night Football, and what x-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Commanders spread hits HARD, all from the expert who is an AMAZING 51-29 on picks involving the Falcons!