2024 NFL Week 10 officiating angles: Finding edges in 49ers-Buccaneers, Broncos-Chiefs and more
This column -- a collaboration with NFL officiating guru Joe Gibbs -- is 45-32 (plus 9.9 units) since its debut last season. Gibbs (not the Hall of Fame coach, the NFL referee expert who tweets @NFLrefstats1) teams with SportsLine to deliver three weekly bets. Gibbs dives into the NFL referee assignments the moment they are released each week, unearthing the most relevant betting angles.
Before you make any Week 10 NFL picks or NFL parlays, you need to see what Gibbs and SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein have to say about the officiating crews' tendencies.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. His weekly contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 90-63-3 (58.8%, +20.21 units) since its inception in 2022.
We can tell you Hartstein and Gibbs are betting the 49ers -6 over the host Buccaneers, in part because Shawn Smith is officiating.
Home teams are 40-54-3 ATS with Smith on the whistle. The 49ers are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS with Smith officiating, including 2-0 SU and ATS as road favorites in 1 p.m. ET starts.
The 49ers have been more disciplined on the road, committing the fourth-fewest penalties per game. The Bucs rank among the top 10 for false starts; Smith's crew ranks No. 2 in calling false starts.
It doesn't hurt that Christian McCaffrey, the 2023 Offensive Player of the Year, is expected to make his season debut.
Hartstein and Gibbs also are sharing key officiating angles in Broncos-Chiefs and Dolphins-Rams. You need to see this key referee data before locking in your picks!
So what's the play for Broncos-Chiefs? And what other officiating edges can be found on the Week 10 slate? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Larry Hartstein's Week 10 NFL officiating trends, all from the column that went 37-23 last season!
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