The 2024 NFL Thanksgiving Day schedule begins with a pair of divisional rivalries with Bears vs. Lions (-9.5) at 12:30 p.m. ET, followed by Cowboys vs. Giants (+3.5) at 4:30 p.m. ET. The day's slate then concludes with Dolphins vs. Packers (-3.5) at 8:20 p.m. ET, and if this final matchup seems like one you've watched before on a holiday, that's because it is. Packers vs. Dolphins also took place on Christmas Day in 2022, with Green Bay outright winning as a road underdog. How much should that result factor in when making football picks or NFL Thanksgiving Day 2024 parlay picks? 

Before placing your 2024 Thanksgiving NFL bets and NFL parlays, you NEED to see what the SportsLine projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 22-8 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 202-136 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 56-29 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

Now, it has simulated every snap of the 2024 NFL Thanksgiving Day schedule and has revealed its best parlay picks. The six-leg parlay could lead to a huge 44-1 payout!

One part of the parlay we can reveal: The model says the Over (47.5) hits in Packers vs. Dolphins at 8:20 p.m. ET. The Over is 4-1 for the Dolphins since Tua Tagovailoa returned from injured reserve as Miami's five highest point totals of the season have come in this five-game stretch. Meanwhile, Green Bay is coming off a season-high of 38 points on Sunday against a top-notch 49ers defense. The model projects the Over to hit in over 50% of simulations, with points to spare, with the teams combining for 50 points.

The model also jumped on spread bets for each of the three Thanksgiving games, as well as over/under picks for the other two contests. It has one team covering over 60% of the time in an A-rated spread pick! You ABSOLUTELY need to see who to pick before locking in any NFL Thanksgiving parlays.

So which teams cover on Thanksgiving, and which A-rated spread pick should you include for a hefty 44-1 payout? ... Join SportsLine here to see which teams cover the spread, and which total picks to back in a 2024 NFL Thanksgiving parlay, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks!