A first-round battle in the 2024 NCAA Tournament has the No. 10 seed Nevada Wolf Pack and the No. 7 seed Dayton Flyers playing on Thursday at 4:30 p.m. ET. Nevada is a 1-point favorite in the latest Nevada vs. Dayton via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 136.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Nevada vs. Dayton picks, you need to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 148-106 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 29-19 (+810) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Nevada senior guard Jarod Lucas has been a consistent playmaker. Lucas can get a bucket from all three levels and is fearless with the ball. He averages a team-high 17.8 points with 2.8 rebounds per game. On Mar. 9 versus UNLV, Lucas finished with 26 points and three rebounds. 

The model also knows Dayton junior forward DaRon Holmes II is an active and athletic presence in the frontcourt. Holmes II excels in the paint and dominates in the pick and roll. The Arizona native leads the team in scoring (20.4) and rebounds (8.4). In his last game, Holmes II had 24 points, 12 rebounds, and two blocks. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Nevada vs. Dayton. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins Nevada vs. Dayton, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from that's on a 29-19 roll on top-rated college basketball spread picks!