The NASCAR Cup Series will continue with the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500 on Sunday at Phoenix Raceway, with the green flag scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. William Byron got Hendrick Motorsports on the board with their first win of the new NASCAR season last week in Las Vegas, but Ford won both races at Phoenix in 2022. It comes as no surprise that Ford driver Ryan Blaney is the 13-2 favorite in the 2023 NASCAR at Phoenix odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1)! It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the United Rentals Work United 500 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Ross Chastain, even though he's an 11-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Phoenix odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, the top Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting THREE other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Phoenix odds at 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 United Rentals Work United 500? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Phoenix leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of the Clash, a Daytona Duel and the Pala Casino 400!