The NASCAR Cup Series will continue with the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday and the race will run 400 laps around the 0.75-mile short track. William Byron is the 11-2 favorite in the 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds from Caesars Sportsbook, followed by Kyle Larson and Kevin Harvick at 6-1.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1)! Then last week in Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the Toyota Owners 400 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Toyota Owners 400? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard, all from the model that has already called the winners of the Clash, a Daytona Duel and the Pala Casino 400!