The NASCAR Cup Series will continue with the 2023 Pala Casino 400 on Sunday at Auto Club Speedway in Fontana, Calif., with the green flag scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. Ricky Stenhouse captured his third career victory at the 2023 Daytona 500 last week and is a 125-1 long shot in the 2023 Pala Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Kyle Larson is the 5-1 favorite, while Denny Hamlin (17-2) and Chase Elliott (9-1) follow him on this week's NASCAR odds board.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s win at the Clash at the Coliseum, returning 20-1, and nailing Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1)! It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season. All told, the model has nailed a whopping eight winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the Pala Casino 400 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Joey Logano, even though he's a 10-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Fontana odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Elliott, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 Pala Casino 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting SIX other drivers with 2023 Pala Casino 400 odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2023 Pala Casino 400? And which longshots are a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Fontana leaderboard, all from the model that already nailed the longshot Clash at the Coliseum winner and the first Daytona Duel!