The No. 12 seed Charleston Cougars square off against the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs in a first-round matchup in the South Region on Thursday afternoon at 3:10 p.m. ET. San Diego State is favored by 5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 142 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Charleston vs. San Diego State picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters conference tournament week 76-51 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning nearly $1,200 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows San Diego State senior guard Matt Bradley is a calm floor-spacing shooting option in the backcourt. Bradley has the ability to shoot off the dribble from multiple spots. The California native leads the team in points (12.9) with 3.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. In his last game against Utah State, he totaled 16 points and two boards.

The model also knows Charleston sophomore forward Ante Brzovic provides this group with an agile and energetic player. Brzovic plays solid defense in the lane and is a consistent rebounder. The Croatia native leads the team in rebounds (5.9) with 11.6 points per game. On Mar. 7 against UNC Wilmington, Brzovic finished with 16 points and eight boards.

Now, the model has set its sights on Charleston vs. San Diego State. It is leaning Under on the total and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

So who wins Charleston vs. San Diego State? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Join SportsLine now to find out, all from the model that has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread!