The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets collide in Game 4 of the 2023 NBA Finals on Friday night. The Nuggets took control of the series when they secured a 109-94 win over the Heat on Wednesday evening. The Nuggets are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 211.

The game at Kaseya Center in Miami will tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET. Before making any Nuggets vs. Heat picks or any other NBA predictions, you need to see which side Matt Severance is on. 

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He is Sportsline's top NBA expert, entering this matchup with a sizzling 106-57-1 (+3379) roll on his picks! Anybody following him has seen HUGE returns.

Now, he has set his sights on Game 4 of Nuggets vs. Heat and locked in his picks.

Severance knows Miami center Bam Adebayo continues to be effective in many different roles. Adebayo is a lights-out defender due to his instincts and awareness. The Kentucky product also thrives in the lane and around the rim. He's averaging 17.7 points and 9.7 rebounds per game in the postseason. In his last outing, Adebayo finished with 22 points and 17 rebounds.

The expert also knows Denver guard Jamal Murray has been playing exceptionally well. Murray is using his smooth ball handles to create space from defenders to score or pass the ball. He is logging 27.4 points and 6.8 assists per contest in the playoffs. In Denver's Game 3 victory, Murray stuffed the stat sheet with 34 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists.

Now, Severance has locked in another confident against the spread pick for Nuggets vs. Heat. We can tell you he's leaning Under on the point total, but he knows a crucial X-factor makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Heat, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread hit HARD? Join SportsLine now to get Matt Severance's Heat vs. Nuggets picks, all from the top NBA expert on a 106-57 roll!