2023 NBA Finals Nuggets vs. Heat line, picks: Proven NBA computer model releases selections for Game 3 matchup
The stage shifts to Kaseya Center for Game 3 of the 2023 NBA Final between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The series is tied at 1-1. Denver is favored by 3.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 213 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page).Â
Before making any Nuggets vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the 2023 NBA Finals a stunning 72-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!
The model knows the Heat were tremendous on offense in Game 2. Miami scored 1.29 points per possession in the matchup, shooting 17-35 from 3-point range and tying an NBA Finals record with six players making at least two triples. The Heat also generated 28 assists with only 11 turnovers, and Miami is shooting 39.2% from 3-point range in the full postseason.
The model also knows Denver is the best offensive team in the postseason. The Nuggets are scoring more than 1.19 points per possession in the playoffs, leading the NBA, and Denver put up 1.24 points per possession with 52% shooting in Game 2. Denver also leads the postseason with 59.7% true shooting, including 49.3% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 81.7% from the free throw line. The Nuggets also average fewer turnovers (11.5 per game) than any team in the playoffs.Â
Now, it has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.
Who wins Heat vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Nuggets spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model that's red-hot on top-rated NBA picks!
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