A spot in the Round of 16 will be on the line when South Africa meets Italy in a key 2023 Women's World Cup Group G matchup in New Zealand on Wednesday. The Italians are looking to rebound from a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Sweden on Saturday. They had beaten Argentina 1-0 in the tournament opener. South Africa, meanwhile, dropped a 2-1 decision to Sweden on July 23 before earning a 2-2 draw with Argentina on Friday.

The match from Wellington Regional Stadium in Wellington, New Zealand, kicks off at 3 a.m. ET. Italy are the -160 favorites (risk $160 to win $100) according to the latest South Africa vs. Italy odds, with South Africa at +400. A draw is priced at +280 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. (For more soccer coverage, click here.)

Before you bet on South Africa vs. Italy or make any other 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup predictions, you need to see who SportsLine's Projection Model is backing.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every 2023 Women's World Cup match 10,000 times. Currently the model's spread picks are 64% accurate in the WWC, up $450 for $100 bettors. Anybody who is following it has seen big returns!

The model knows after an embarrassing loss to Sweden, the Italians will look to rebound in a big way. Helping lead the way is forward Cristiana Girelli, the team captain. The 33-year-old leads the team with 54 career international goals in 104 appearances. She scored Italy's goal in the win over Argentina on July 24.

The model also knows South African forward Thembi Kgatlana, 27, has one goal in the 2023 Women's World Cup, scoring in the 66th minute against Argentina. In 66 appearances for her national team, she has recorded 25 goals. Since 2018, she has registered 27 goals in 82 professional matches, including 10 in 27 matches for Eibar in Spain in 2020-2021.

The model has taken an in-depth look at the South Africa vs. Italy showdown. It is leaning Over the goal total and has locked in its money line and spread picks! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what the model has to say before making any selections of your own.

Who wins Italy vs. South Africa, and where does all the betting value lie? ... Join SportsLine now to see the model's picks for South Africa vs. Italy, all from proven computer model that's way up on its spread picks in the Women's World Cup!