The Tampa Bay Lightning attempt to even the series at two wins apiece when they host the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday in Game 4 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final. Just two days after being trounced 7-0, Tampa Bay avoided a 3-0 series deficit with a convincing 6-2 triumph on Monday. It was the eighth straight home victory for the Lightning, who are looking to become the first team to win three consecutive championships since the New York Islanders captured four straight from 1980-83.

Puck drop at Amalie Arena in Tampa is set for 8 p.m. ET. Both teams are listed at -110 (risk $110 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Avalanche vs. Lightning odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total goals scored is set at six (see the latest lines for every game on our NHL odds page).

Before making any Lightning vs. Avalanche picks, you NEED to see the latest NHL predictions from the SportsLine hockey insider Matt Severance.

Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He's SportsLine's top NHL handicapper, going 137-71-4 in his last 212 NHL picks and returning well over $3,000 for $100 players. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.

Severance knows Colorado's biggest question mark - goaltending - again has become a concern as Darcy Kuemper, who posted his first playoff shutout since 2014 in Game 2, was pulled after allowing five goals on 22 shots on Monday. Prior to his Game 3 appearance, the Avalanche had won all six games in which backup Pavel Francouz had played this postseason, including his four starts. Defenseman Cale Makar assisted on both of captain Gabriel Landeskog's goals in Game 3 and is tied for third in the league in playoff scoring with 26 points.

The expert also knows Makar is tied with Nikita Kucherov, who also notched a pair of assists on Monday but exited in the third period after suffering a lower-body injury and is questionable for Game 4. The Lightning already were without Brayden Point, who sat out Game 3 with a lower-body ailment that caused him to miss the previous two playoff rounds before he returned at the start of the Stanley Cup Final. The 26-year-old Point also is likely to miss Wednesday's contest for Tampa Bay, which hasn't lost at home since Game 3 of its first-round series against Toronto.

Now, Severance has set his sights on Avalanche vs. Lightning, and we can tell you he's leaning Over on the total. He's also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the money line! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NHL picks of your own.

So who wins Avalanche vs. Lightning in Game 4 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final? And which side of the money line has ALL the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Lightning vs. Avalanche money line you should be all over on Wednesday, all from the expert who has crushed his NHL picks!