The New Mexico State Aggies and Bowling Green Falcons face off Monday at Ford Field in the 2022 Quick Lane Bowl. The Aggies (6-6) are making just their second bowl appearance since 1960 -- and fifth overall -- after defeating Valparaiso 56-3 in their finale. Bowling Green (6-6) is in its first bowl game since 2015 and has a couple of big victories on its resume.   

Kickoff is set for Monday at 2:30 p.m. ET at Ford Field. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Falcons as 3-point favorites in its latest New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Quick Lane Bowl odds, and the over/under for total points scored is set at 50. (see up-to-date odds for bowl season on our college football odds page). 

Before you make any Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State picks or Quick Lane Bowl predictions, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Falcons knocked off eventual MAC champion Toledo and also beat Marshall a week after the Herd's  huge upset of Notre Dame. Bowling Green's success hinges on a passing game led by quarterback Matt McDonald. The senior has 2,639 passing yards and 22 touchdowns this season. He threw for 395 yards and wide receiver Odieu Hiliare had 246 in the 42-35 victory against Toledo on Nov. 15.

The model also has considered that New Mexico State has never lost a bowl game (3-0-1) and has been strong defensively. The Aggies rank 14th in the nation against the pass (185 YPG), so the Falcons might need to rely more on the run. But Bowling Green ranks 121st in rushing (101 YPG). New Mexico State also has had some success running the ball, with Star Thomas leading a rushing attack that averages 156 yards.

Now, the model has broken down the New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Quick Lane Bowl matchup from every angle. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins the New Mexico State vs. Bowling Green Quick Lane Bowl showdown on Monday? And which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State Quick Lane Bowl spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!