A spot in the College Football Playoff championship game will be on the line when the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines and the No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs collide in the 2022 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl on Saturday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. The Wolverines (13-0) won the Big Ten conference this season, defeating rival Ohio State in the process. Meanwhile TCU (12-1) is coming off its first loss of the season, a loss to Kansas State in the Big 12 championship game. 

Kickoff is 4:10 p.m. ET. The Wolverines are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Michigan vs. TCU Fiesta Bowl odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 57. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page.)

Before you make any TCU vs. Michigan picks or Fiesta Bowl predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

The model knows that Michigan has one of the best defenses -- if not the best defense -- in the country. The Wolverines give up just 277.1 total yards per game, which ranks third in the nation. They also allow only 13.4 points per game, which is tied for fourth, behind only Illinois, Georgia and Minnesota.

But the model also knows that TCU has one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country in Max Duggan. A senior from Council Bluffs, Iowa, Duggan leads the Big 12 and ranks eighth in the nation in passing efficiency (165.5). He also has 25 career rushing touchdowns, which ranks ninth in program history.

Now, the model has set its sights on the Fiesta Bowl and Michigan vs. TCU. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

Who wins the Fiesta Bowl and TCU vs. Michigan? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Michigan vs. TCU spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on college football picks!