The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway. The green flag drops at 4 p.m. ET for the 16th race of the NASCAR schedule. Chase Elliott is the 3-2 favorite in the latest 2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 odds from William Hill Sportsbook.

Our proven projection model has simulated this race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.

In the 2021 season, the model has correctly predicted at least seven top-10 finishers in six of the last 12 races! And in April, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. He was also high on eventual winner Alex Bowman at Dover in May. Anyone who has followed his lead has seen some HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Brad Keselowski, even though he's a massive 30-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Sonoma odds 2021. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, the Vegas favorite at 3-2, stumbles and doesn't crack the top three! There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Toyota Save Mart 350 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR at Sonoma odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2021 Toyota Save Mart 350? And which long shots stun NASCAR? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Martin Truex Jr.'s win at Martinsville!