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2021 Louisiana Derby morning-line odds, picks: National handicapping champion offers picks for Saturday's race

Jonathon Kinchen, who won $366,000 at last year's Breeders' Cup and nailed the exacta in the San Felipe Stakes two weeks ago, offers his handicapping analysis and picks for Saturday's Louisiana Derby at the Fair Grounds

By@SportsLineUpdated: Mar 20, 2021 4:05AM UTC . 3 min read

The Brad Cox-trained Mandaloun can establish himself as one of the top contenders for the Kentucky Derby when he leaves the starting gate on Saturday in the 2021 Louisiana Derby at the Fair Grounds in New Orleans. The 3-year-old son of Into Mischief is the 8-5 favorite in the Louisiana Derby odds. Post time for the $1 million race is 6:44 p.m. ET.

Before making any 2021 Louisiana Derby picks, you NEED to see how handicapping champion Jonathon Kinchen has broken down the race.

Kinchen is one of the nation's most successful and recognizable horseplayers. An analyst for Fox Sports' America's Day at the Races and co-host of the In the Money Players' Podcast, Kinchen won the National Horseplayers Championship Tour in 2015, a demanding, yearlong series of handicapping events across the country. That same year, he became the only player in history to have both of his entries qualify for the final table of the National Horseplayers Championship.

In addition, Kinchen has scored huge on some of racing's biggest days. In November, he finished second out of 418 contestants in the prestigious Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge, which earned him $215,000 in prize money. After factoring in his profit during the 14 Breeders' Cup races, he took home more than $366,000 on the day!

It's no fluke, either. At the 2015 Kentucky Derby, he cashed for $150,000 after nailing a Pick 6 and a Pick 3 that paid $50,000. 

And two weeks ago, he nailed a $100 exacta in the San Felipe Stakes for $320. Anyone who has followed him is up BIG.

Now, Kinchen has handicapped the 2021 Louisiana Derby field, made his picks and constructed his bets.

We can tell you Kinchen is completely fading Midnight Bourbon, who is the fourth choice on the morning line at 5-1. Kinchen will not have Midnight Bourbon on any tickets.

However Kinchen's top pick is a horse whom he says "will be hard to beat." Kinchen also is high on a double-digit long shot who should "enjoy Saturday's distance." Kinchen is including these horses in his wagering, and so should you. You NEED to see Kinchen's analysis before making any picks of your own.

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