The United States will try to win gold in men's basketball for the fourth straight Olympics when group play begins on Sunday in Tokyo. Team USA is the -300 favorite in the 2021 Summer Olympics men's basketball odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Australia next on the odds board at +700, while Spain is +1100. Before locking in any Tokyo Olympics 2020 picks or predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's Olympics expert, Mike Tierney, has to say.

A national sportswriter whose work appears in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered nine Olympic Games in person. For Rio in 2016, Tierney profited big-time. He told readers to bet Over on Team USA's gold medal count (41.5) and Over on Team USA's overall medal count (102.5). The result? 46 golds, 121 medals and two easy cashes.

And for the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, Tierney hit two of his three predictions: Germany (+200) to win the most gold medals and the United States winning Under 10.5 gold medals (+110).

Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, with the Tokyo Summer Olympics starting, Tierney has studied every team in the men's basketball tournament and identified three future wagers.

One shocker: Tierney is completely fading the United States, even though the Americans have won the last three gold medals. "Too many concerns are swirling around Team USA," Tierney tells SportsLine.

Instead, Tierney's top pick is a country that has been "knocking on the door." He also loves a huge long shot with a "modest history" that he calls a "ridiculous overlay." You NEED to see Tierney's analysis before making any men's basketball selections.

Who will win the gold medal in men's basketball? And which "ridiculous overlay" is a must-back? ... Join SportsLine now to get Mike Tierney's predictions for the Tokyo Summer Olympics men's basketball tournament, all from the renowned sportswriter who's covered nine Olympics in person and cashed big in both 2016 and '18!!