Micah's Past Picks
The Yankees finally showed up and put some runs on the board and it's not too late for a comeback. One day at a time. They got some help from unusual bats like Gleyber Torres, Anthony Volpe with the Grand Slam, and Austin Wells. They're definitely not the power source of the Yankees. Gerrit Cole pitched a gem in game one and has gone over four of his last five starts. Jack Flaherty has gone over his last four starts and the last time Flaherty pitched in New York he gave up eight runs to the Mets. The Dodgers have now gone over 100-71. Game 5 will go over because the Yankees help.
The Dodgers have taken advantage of the Yankees failure to hit in any situation, key or not, and now they're up 3-0. All three of the games should have stayed under the total if it weren't for a grand slam in game one that game would have stayed under. Games two and three fell a dead under. The Dodgers have gone over seven of their last nine games. For this game, I expect the Dodgers to have a couple of scoring runs where the Yankees look like a deer in headlights swinging at everything and the Dodgers keep coming with hits. I see something like 9-2 Dodgers in this game which would make it go over.
The New York Yankees are on the brink of being swept and the outlook does not look promising. Of the 24 teams that won the first three games of the World Series 21 of them swept game four and the other three won in Game 5. That is something that does not look good and from the way that the Yankees have sunken shoulders, horrible body language, and the embarrassment of overswinging, it will be hard for them to come back starting today. It's a bullpen day for the Dodgers going against Luis Gil who allowed 12 runs in his last three starts. The value is with the Dodgers, yesterday was when the Yankees had to come back and win then they failed. Dodgers win.
The Dodgers have gone over the total in seven of the last eight games and they've got two pitchers up that are primed to give up a lot of runs and get this game over. Walker Buehler is on the mound and he's given up lots of runs. In 10 straight games they've gone over when Buehler starts. Clarke Schmidt will find himself in the same pattern for four or five innings. I would kind of favor the Yankees in the game but the price is too high so I’ll just stick to the over.
Inflation has struck in the baseball totals of late with the Dodgers going over seven straight games and the latest was a new one ending with the Grand Slam to get over. Even if you're looking at a nine today it's still a good bet to go over because of these hitters are just far more in tune than the pitchers are at the moment. Carlos Rodon has gone under his last four games but that was against the Royals that were hitting .187 the last 3 weeks of the baseball season and with Cleveland who struggled to hit in the playoffs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has gone over in four of his last five starts. The over strikes again.
It’s wise to get on the Over before it eventually moves higher. The Dodgers, who have been going over all season long and in the playoffs, powered up with their bats and sent all six games in the NLCS Over. They've gone over in nine of their last 10 games. And for the season they're 98-69 to the Over, while the Yankees ended up the year 90-73 to the Over. It doesn't matter who the starters are; the bats are hitting the ball extremely well right now, better than the pitchers are pitching. Just the Over.
Cleveland came back big time and got themselves back in the series now with New York leading 2-1. We got some overtime yesterday with no mystery runner starting on second. I think this game is all about Luis Gil who hasn't pitched in 3 weeks and when he was pitching he was in a funk. His last outing was against the Pirates where he allowed six runs in 5.2 innings and he was coming off a game where he pitched 5.1 innings against the A's and allowed four runs. The problem is that he's had to stew on those performances and he’s not likely to be better. That’s the reason I played over.
The Dodgers have beat the Mets seven out of eight and they are clubbing the ball with everybody contributing. They've gone over five straight including all four in the championship series. The Mets have thrown everything they have at the Dodgers including smashing their best pitcher yesterday and they're left with nothing to compete with. Over looks like the best play here including the Dodgers over.
The Dodgers have won the last five starts by Yoshinobu Yamamoto but between his three previous starts, he allowed 11 runs while pitching only 11 innings. This is a pivotal game 4 for the Mets. They have to win and they have Jose Quintana at his best. The Mets have won six of his last seven starts. He hasn't allowed a run in four of his last five starts. He's a shutdown pitcher in prime form against perhaps the best-hitting team in baseball. The Dodgers have won by shutouts in four of their last five games. Dominating playoff performance from their pitching. The Mets are going to have to be very good today to win and I think they can. Mets win.
The Yankees have won Clarke Schmidt’s last two starts and they’ve also won their last four against Cleveland. With Jose Ramirez not hitting for Cleveland they have no zip in their step and look like a dead man walking. I watched the first two games and saw no hope for Cleveland. That's sad to say in the championship series but it's how I felt. But this is who Cleveland is. They thought they could go far with a great bullpen and a subpar starting staff and they did. Aaron Judge should hit another home run because he has to have another once he opens the seal. They come in bunches with that guy. Yankees win.
The Dodgers have gone over nine of their last 10 games with Walker Buehler pitching and the one game they didn't go over would have been if it were 7.5 like this game. Buehler just creates overs because everybody likes hitting him. The Dodgers win half of his games but he only gets credit for one win. He gave up six runs in his last start to the Padres. The Dodgers and Mets have gone over their last three meetings. The Mets have gone over seven of their last nine. Luis Severino has gone over four of his last five starts and hasn’t given up less than three runs in those starts. That's half the battle right there. Over is the play.
The Yankees are only hitting .218 in the playoffs but that doesn't account for seven walks in Game 1 which is just as good as seven hits. They've gone 4-1-1 in the last six meetings. Gerrit Cole has gone over two of his last starts against Cleveland. We also have the build-up of waiting for Aaron Judge to hit a home run. I think he hits one today and this game gets over.
The Yankees are up over Cleveland 1-0 and game two has Gerrit Cole starting. The Yankees have won his last four starts with Cole only allowing five earned runs in those starts. The Yankees have won three in a row over Cleveland and seven of nine. Cole has also won three straight against Cleveland the last two staying under and his only start against them this year was 6-0 with him allowing only one hit. Yankees are only hitting .218 in the playoffs but they get by. Yankees win.
Cleveland has the third-best batting average of the playoffs and it's only .234. The Yankees are only hitting .220 with three home runs in four games. Aaron Judge is going to come out eventually with the big day but it hasn't happened yet and now it might be a mental game with his lack of hitting in the playoffs. I think Cleveland can get the lead off of Carlos Rodon and hang on to it once they get into it with their bullpen. That's been their secret all season. It's a nice price to go with Cleveland.
The Dodgers have won the last five meetings with the Mets, but they have got their best starter going today. Sean Manaea has beat the Dodgers in the last two meetings allowing only two runs and he comes off a pivotal game-three win against the Phillies where he went seven innings and allowed one run. The Dodgers had shutouts in the last three games but that ends today. Between the pitching and the hitting the Mets get a couple runs and win this game. The game likely stays under too, but I will stick with the side of the Mets. It's game two and a perfect opportunity for the Mets to come out.