Prop's Picks (1 Live)
Prop's Past Picks
FanDuel. After a strong start to the season, he’s under this line in 13/L19. Brutal spot against the Warriors who are allowing the third fewest points to PnR ball handlers, and the second fewest transition points. Green really struggled in both spots vs GSW this season (21 and 11 PRA on 21% FG%) - if he struggles again, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Udoka cut his minutes in a win or go home Cup game.
FanDuel. Since joining the Knicks, Karl-Anthony Towns has re-established himself as one of the premier rebounders in the NBA. At 13.3 boards per game, he’s second on the league’s leaderboard. He’s cleared this line in 13/22 games this season, including 7 of the last 8, and he grabbed 16 rebounds against the Hawks in their previous matchup. Atlanta, who play at the third fastest pace, allow the tenth most rebounds per game overall, and the twelfth most to opposing centers.
B365 and Caesars. Would play to o26.5. Low line for Hartenstein, who has cleared in 6/8 games this season. The Mavs are allowing the fifth most PRA to opposing centers. Specifically, where Hartenstein succeeds - the Mavs allow the 6th most offensive rebounds, and the third most FGs in the paint (non-RA) - where Hartenstein fires his push-shot floater.
DraftKings. Giannis has cleared this line in 13/18 games playing alongside Lillard this season, including 9/10 at home. While the Magic are a great team defense, I do like Giannis’ individual matchup a bit better than Lillard’s in this one. Overall, he’s averaging 32.5 points per game this season, and in a game where motivations will be high, I’ll gladly bet this with a 3 point discount. Would bet to o30.5.
Germaine Pratt has cleared this line in seven of 12 games this season, including racking up 13 combined tackles last week without fellow LB Logan Wilson, who is now on IR. The Cowboys' offense with Cooper Rush has been much more LB-tackle friendly (19.5 allowed over the last 4 games). Rush’s lower aDOT (7.2 yards), and Dallas' increased reliance on the run game, should lead to more opportunities for Pratt.
FanDuel. Since becoming the workhorse, Brown has cleared this line in 8/L10, with his only two misses vs top 5 defenses (BAL and PHI). He now faces off against DAL who rank 29th in run defense DVOA (FTN), and have the third highest explosive run rate allowed.