I'm giving this pick out on our "Early Edge College Football Picks Show" as my upset special at +200, but for the sake of the SportsLine site, I'll gladly take the 7.5 points. If the Falcons don't beat their in-state rivals, they may not win a game this season. CSU is without star wide receiver Tory Horton for the remainder of the season and it's not like they have a good defense as is, giving up nearly 30 points per game. I'm taking a shot in the dark that worst case, Air Force can make it a close game.