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Sat, Mar 151:41 am UTCThomas & Mack Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Boise State
Broncos
BOISE
Last 5 ATS
W/L25-11
ATS19-17
O/U17-19-0
FINAL SCORE
72
-
69
New Mexico
Lobos
NMEX
Last 5 ATS
W/L26-8
ATS17-17
O/U14-19-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
25-11
Win /Loss
26-8
19-17
Spread
17-17
17-19-0
Over / Under
14-19-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOISE @ NMEX
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MONEYLINE
BOISE @ NMEX
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OVER / UNDER
BOISE @ NMEX
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35%
PUBLIC
65%
MONEY
22%
PUBLIC
78%
MONEY
Over50%
PUBLIC
Under50%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadBoise St. +1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2484
106-73-1 in Last 180 NCAAB Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
+146
7-5 in Last 12 BOISE ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Here comes Boise, putting the bit between its teeth down the stretch, winning six of seven and ten of twelve to approach the Big Dance cut-line. The Broncos out-gutted gnarly San Diego State in Thursday's quarterfinals, outscoring the Aztecs 17-5 across the last nine minutes en route to winning the second half, 34-19. Though the Broncos only shot 34% from the floor, they won the rebound battle 40-28, and ex-San Jose State PG Alvaro Cardenas kept his cool down the stretch to lead Boise with 16 points. The Lobos are in better shape for a Big Dance at-large but looked vulnerable on Thursday vs. San Jose in a difficult 63-52 win. Play Boise State (Mountain West at Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas).

Pick Made: Mar 14, 6:59 pm UTC on BetRivers
Over / UnderUnder 147.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2484
106-73-1 in Last 180 NCAAB Picks
+2109
40-17 in Last 57 NCAAB O/U Picks
+95
2-1 in Last 3 NMEX O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Always some rock fights in the MW Tourney, such as Thursday when all four games landing well under, while Utah State was the only side to score as many as 70. New Mexico is used to this sort of pace in the tourney, as it won this event last March while landing under in all four of its games. No scoreline has gotten above 142, including Thursday vs. San Jose in a labored 63-52 win that would have been even lower-scoring had UNM G Donovan Dent not come to the rescue with 25 points. Tourney trends and Boise's grinder over the Aztecs on Thursday suggests this will be another Mountain West rock fight tonight. Play Boise State-New Mexico Under.

Pick Made: Mar 14, 6:43 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Boise State Broncos
Thursday, Apr 10, 2025
Avatar
F
Dominic Parolin
Redshirt
New Mexico Lobos
No Player Injuries

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
17-14
15-16
48%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
41%
7-10
7-8
46%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
60%
3-2
12-13
48%
When Spread was -1 to +3
SPREAD
When Spread was -3 to +1
66%
2-1
1-0
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
Favored on Road or Neutral
60%
3-2
4-5
44%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
42%
6-8
7-5
58%
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
69%
9-4
4-4
50%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After <4 Days Off
60%
9-6
7-5
58%
vs NMEX
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOISE
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
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